| The use of crime mapping as a tool for policing has a long history, and
it has been adopted on a much broader basis since the advent of desktop
computers made mapping dramatically easier. The adoption of mapping technology
has not been problem-free, however. While the software has lessened the
time and labor required to generate maps, the production of sophisticated
maps and their integration into policing have not been straightforward.
An Abridged History of Crime Mapping
Geographer Borden Dent, in his article
“Brief History of Crime Mapping,” traces the origin of the
mapping of crime to France, where in 1829 Adriano Balbi and André
Michel Guerry created maps that showed the relationship between violent
and property crimes and educational levels. Within a few decades this
approach—visually displaying differences in crime across geographic
units—had spread to England and Ireland. In 1849, Joseph Fletcher
created maps that showed the rate of male incarceration for serious property
and violent crimes across counties in England and Wales, and in 1861,
Henry Mayhew presented a number of maps displaying the English and Welsh
county rates for a variety of crimes: rape, assault, bigamy, and abduction,
among others.
These early maps are examples of choropleth
maps—that is, maps that display quantities of things in areas. More
specifically, in choropleth maps geographical areas are divided into multisided
figures called polygons, which are then shaded depending on the
value of the variable being displayed. Balbi and Guerry’s maps,
for example, were shaded with crayon to show different levels in education.
More modern choropleth maps are familiar to anyone who followed the most
recent election returns: a map of the United States with each state shaded
red or blue depending on the party of the senatorial victor is a very
basic choropleth map. An example of a chloropleth map of midtown Anchorage
is shown in Figure 2.
Sociologists, particularly those associated
with the University of Chicago, began using mapping in the first few decades
of the 1900s. Among the earliest were Progressive Movement social work
educators Sophonsiba Breckenridge and Edith Abbott, who, in 1912, mapped
where delinquent children had lived in Chicago over the period 1899 to
1903. This map, with each dot standing for one home, is an example of
a point map—that is, a map in which points representing
particular geographical locations, be they addresses or XY coordinates,
are the main data element.
Perhaps the best known maps in criminology
were created by the Chicago School sociologists Clifford Shaw and Henry
McKay, who constructed a choropleth map using aggregations of addresses
of close to 3,000 male delinquents in Chicago for the period 1927 to 1933.
The map featured polygon shading to indicate rates of delinquency. Like
Breckenridge and Abbott, Shaw and McKay also constructed point maps of
the locations of the homes of about 10,000 male delinquents who had come
before the juvenile court of Cook County in the years 1934 to 1940. Shaw
and McKay noted that the spatial distribution of juvenile delinquents’
homes remained fairly constant over these differing time spans, despite
the fact that there was a high degree of residential mobility in various
areas of Chicago. Their work, with that of others, gave rise to the social
ecology approach to studying crime. This approach assumes that crime is
to a large extent caused by community- and neighborhood-level variables,
such as land use, infant mortality rates, mental disorders, tuberculosis,
and the percentages of minorities and families on social assistance.
It is worth noting that all the maps described
above were made without the benefit of computers. The underlying base
maps—that is, the maps showing streets, roads, and other major features
such as water and railroads—had been drawn by hand. Each point was
located manually, and polygons were shaded using ink, pencil, or crayon.
Creation of a single map could take many, many hours of tedious labor.
In one sense, crime mapping was an idea that arose before its time, before
the requisite technology was available. It illustrates what Sean Gilfillan
in The Sociology of Invention defined as the uselessness of premature
invention—“an invention which for any reason did come before
its time remains useless and undeveloped until its proper day dawns.”
The “proper day” for crime mapping did not come until developments
in computer technology made it feasible to run mapping programs on relatively
inexpensive desktop computers.
Prior to the widespread use of desktop computers,
the few police departments who did crime mapping relied on primitive techniques
such as sticking thousands of pins into large maps attached to the wall.
In his essay “Geographic Information Systems and Crime Analysis
in Baltimore County, Maryland,” Philip Canter describes the county’s
pin-mapping efforts as requiring twelve maps and 70 square feet of wall
to cover the entire area of the jurisdiction. While these maps were reasonably
good for detecting clusters of criminal activity, they did not permit
more sophisticated analyses that incorporated other, nongeographic factors,
such as modus operandi or time of offense.
Even with the advent of computers, generating
a crime map was no small feat, as geographer and criminologist Keith Harries
has noted in Mapping Crime: Principle and Practice. Mapping with
gigantic mainframe computers was still extremely labor-intensive. First,
there was the work involved in describing the boundaries of the map with
numbered coordinates on punched cards. Then came the labor of keypunching
the cards, followed by a similar process of coding and keypunching to
put the data on the map.
Such labor intensiveness meant that few
police departments could afford to produce computerized crime maps. It
wasn’t possible for most agencies to afford crime mapping until
desktop computers became widely available in the mid-1980s to early 1990s
and microprocessor speed increased.
The Advantages and Disadvantages of Desktop Crime Mapping
In their work, David Weisburd and Cynthia
Lum argue that the expanding body of research on the context of criminal
events (e.g., routine activities, situational crime prevention, and criminology
of place) has contributed to a paradigm shift in policing. An increasing
focus on small geographic areas has led to increased recognition of the
value of a hot-spots policing approach, with crime mapping central to
this approach. In addition, many agencies have experimented with problem-oriented
policing. The value of crime mapping in assisting with problem scanning,
analysis, and response assessment is well documented.
Technology change, specifically the increasing
availability of desktop computers, has been the main reason for the recent
rapid growth in crime mapping by American police departments. Desktop
computers have made the creation of maps dramatically faster. Computerized
crime mapping now relies less on labor-intensive processes; it is no longer
necessary to draw maps by hand using special pens and India ink. Pressing
only a few buttons on a keyboard produces similar effects. Desktop computers
are also forgiving when one makes a mistake; it is a simple matter to
redraw a map.
However, despite the advantages of computerized
crime mapping, its adoption by police departments has not been straightforward.
A study by the Police Foundation in 2000 found that although many departments
could afford the equipment for mapping and had little difficulty finding
personnel interested in learning the technology, “the learning curve
is often underestimated and integrating the mapping into departmental
routine requires substantial planning and effort.”
Studies by Thomas Rich and by Cynthia Mamalian
and Nancy LaVigne of the National Institute of Justice have found that
the majority of departments using crime mapping are creating automated
pin maps and generating hot-spot maps. Along a range of difficulty, pin
maps and hot-spot analysis are at the low end. For more advanced analysis,
some knowledge of cartography and geographic information systems (GIS)
is required. Leslie Kennedy in “Repeatable and Emergent Forms: Searching
for Crime Spaces and Crime Places,” a paper presented in 2002, quotes
an observer: “Police departments are going crazy. They thought all
they had to do was put up MapInfo, and now consultants are coming along
and telling them they need to do neural networks.” The complexity
of these latest innovations may well prevent their adoption by all but
the most technologically advanced departments.
With initial cost outlays for a basic mapping
program low, the cost of crime mapping is not an impediment to most police
departments. For example, ArcView, the popular software used by about
40 percent of departments doing mapping, according to Mamalian and La
Vigne, retails for under $2,000. Most mapping software is relatively user-friendly,
and there are many opportunities to receive training for those who wish
to move beyond the manual. While these features of modern computerized
crime mapping make it easy for some agencies to start crime mapping, particularly
the larger ones with bigger budgets and staff who can devote time to accessing
data and learning how to use the software, these features are not as useful
for smaller agencies, which may be unable to free up personnel for training.
The Spread of Crime Mapping Use by American Police Departments
A small but growing body of research provides
some insight on the use of crime mapping in American police departments
and the associated problems. Initially, the technology spread quickly.
In 1995, Thomas Rich reported the results of an informal poll conducted
by the International Association of Chiefs of Police in “The Use
of Computerized Mapping in Crime Control and Prevention Programs”:
30 percent of 280 police departments reported having mapping software.
In the Police Foundation study mentioned above, a series of telephone
interviews were conducted with personnel in 51 departments that had received
grants from the Community Oriented Policing Services (COPS) Office to
implement crime mapping. The study concluded that many departments found
crime mapping considerably more difficult to implement than they had anticipated
and had problems integrating the technology with problem-solving and community
policing. The perceived need for technical assistance and training was
great.
A more rigorous survey of 2,004 police departments
in 1997-1998 conducted by Mamalian and LaVigne at the National Institute
of Justice’s Crime Mapping Research Center (CMRC) found that large
departments (i.e., those with 100 or more sworn officers) were more than
ten times as likely to use computerized crime mapping than small departments
(36% vs. 3%). Overall, the rate of use was 13 percent, and the average
length of use was 3.3 years.
Weisburd and Lum further analyzed these
data by graphing responses to the question, “For how long has the
department been doing crime mapping?” The result is shown in Figure
1. These two researchers then conducted their own pilot study in 2001
of agencies with over 100 or more sworn officers in order to focus on
the relationship between research and crime mapping innovation. They found
that this pattern still held, even four years later, suggesting that crime
mapping as an innovation has diffused very rapidly among large agencies.

Weisburd and Lum’s pilot study examined
the characteristics of different stage adopters, classifying responding
departments into those who were early adopters, those who were later adopters,
and those who had not yet adopted mapping. Early adopters were significantly
more likely to have members who attended crime mapping or crime analysis
conferences; were involved in a crime mapping or crime analysis email
discussion list; had easy access to academic books about crime mapping
or crime analysis; and were aware of research on hot spots, crime mapping,
or crime analysis. It was implied by this study, but not clearly stated,
that there is a network of police departments that communicate about crime
mapping through the Internet and at conferences.
A more detailed analysis of the CMRC data
undertaken by the author of this article found that diffusion of crime
mapping was much more rapid in large police departments than in those
with under 100 sworn officers, particularly departments with fewer than
50 sworn officers. In addition, some areas of the country, particularly
the Pacific, Mountain, and South Atlantic census regions, experienced
much faster diffusion than others, such as, most notably, the New England
region.
The Discontinuance of Crime Mapping Use by American Police Departments
To date, there have been only two studies
examining the specific issue of why police departments stop using or discontinue
crime mapping, both by this author. In the first, data from the Law Enforcement
Management and Administrative Statistics surveys from 1997 and 1999 were
analyzed in order to investigate the extent of discontinuance of crime
mapping and possible explanations. Of the 615 police departments in the
sample that reported doing crime mapping in 1997, 242, or close to 40
percent, had apparently stopped mapping by 1999. Department size seemed
to be an extremely robust predictor of discontinuance. Large departments,
particularly those with 250 or more sworn fulltime officers, were significantly
less likely to discontinue crime mapping than were the smaller departments.
Of the 111 larger departments, only 3 (or 2.7%) had discontinued, compared
to 235 out of 486 (or 48.3%) of the smaller agencies. Lower levels of
staffing in the technical support area were strongly associated with discontinuance,
but when department size was introduced as a control variable, the relationship
became insignificant. So too did the finding that discontinuers had higher
levels of funding for equipment. Discontinuers were significantly less
likely than continuers to have engaged in problem-oriented policing activities
or crime analysis, but again, department size was a strong intervening
variable.
In a 2002-2003 study of 347 municipal police
departments in New Jersey, The Adoption and Discontinuance of Computerized
Crime Mapping by Municipal Police Departments in New Jersey, the
author found that 12 of 48 departments that had undertaken crime mapping
had since discontinued use of the innovation. Departments that discontinued
mapping were found to differ significantly from continuers on a number
of demographic variables. Discontinuers were significantly smaller than
continuers, in terms not only of population served but numbers of sworn
and civilian personnel. Continuers tended to be in jurisdictions with
more crime events, although with respect to rates this difference was
only statistically significant for violent crime. Neither population density
nor geographic size was significantly different for continuers and discontinuers.
In general, continuers scored higher on variables related to urbanity;
in this sense, discontinuers resemble departments that never adopted mapping
in the first place. This finding is consistent with what Everett Rogers
noted on discontinuance in Diffusion of Innovations: discontinuers
are much more similar to those who adopt an innovation very late than
to early adopters.
In giving reasons for discontinuance, two
respondents in the study cited technical difficulties, such as system
failure, manpower demands, or incompatibility with other computer systems.
Another department, which had received free mapping software, subsequently
abandoned it after only five months because of problems obtaining current
base maps.
Other respondents cited nontechnical reasons
for discontinuance. One police department in a suburban community of about
10,000 in the northeastern part of New Jersey commented that they “did
not find mapping to be of great benefit,” while another agency,
which reported having done crime mapping for decades, lost its equipment
in a flood and had not yet replaced it, although the department intended
to take up the technology again.
This small group of discontinuers provides
some support for notions about discontinuance presented in the diffusion
literature. It is argued that innovations are abandoned for two reasons—replacement
or disenchantment.
With this study, disenchantment, or dissatisfaction,
was essentially the primary reason for discontinuance given by respondents.
Departments that were unhappy with the results of crime mapping or those
that had technical problems experienced this disenchantment. Other surveys
of crime mapping departments have discovered similar implementation problems.
Rich found that difficulties with acquiring data and ensuring data quality
were impediments to the increased use of mapping software among the departments
in his study. Problems associated with moving data between computer systems
and geocoding were also identified by the Police Foundation’s 2000
survey.
As this brief review indicates, the adoption
of crime mapping as a widespread policing tool has not been problem-free,
despite the available technology. Although more departments are now able
to produce and use fairly basic maps, more sophisticated mapping incorporating
multiple variables is not as easily achieved. It is not clear, however,
that police departments have much need for complex maps, which may help
explain the research finding that departments sometimes abandon mapping
after trying it for a period.
Sharon Chamard is an assistant professor
with the Justice Center. This article is largely based on her 2003 doctoral
dissertation, The Adoption and Discontinuance of Computerized
Crime Mapping by Municipal Police Departments in New Jersey.
Chloropleth
Map of Midtown Anchorage
In the summer of 2006 the Anchorage Assembly
considered legislation to enlarge the liquor-license-free buffers around
“sensitive uses” (such as churches and schools) from 200 feet
to 500 feet. The author of the accompanying article, “The
History of Crime Mapping and Its Use by American Police Departments,”
constructed the map on the opposite page, which shows schools and churches
surrounded by the two buffer sizes, and the point locations of current
liquor license establishments—package stores, bars, taverns, restaurants,
etc. A choropleth layer shows the zoning in two categories—whether
liquor establishments are allowed or not. In addition, a community
councils polygon layer breaks the geographic space into smaller areas.
This example includes elements generally
considered necessary for a map—a title, north arrow, scale, and
legend. Only main roads are drawn, which makes the map more readable
because unnecessary details are not included.
There are problems, however, with this map.
Schools are represented by points (addresses) and the churches by polygons
(land parcels). Ideally, the schools and churches would be the same
type of feature, either both points or both polygons. As it is,
the spaces encompassed by the buffers around the schools are smaller than
they perhaps should be, because the buffers surround a single point rather
than the property line. In reality, some school grounds are quite large,
encompassing a city block or more. Also, some points may be misplaced,
due to one of two reasons. First, the underlying data from which
the points are drawn may be incorrect. Unless the map maker has
an intimate knowledge of the geographic area being mapped, it can be difficult
to detect erroneous addresses in the data set. Second, the mapping
software may have placed the points imprecisely. Like most other
products of scientific research, there is a margin of error in maps.
With large-scale maps, showing an entire city perhaps, errors in placement
of points of a couple hundred feet are not noticeable. Such errors
on smaller-scale maps are more readily apparent and can affect conclusions
one might draw from a map.
A
Brief Bibliography on Crime Mapping
The following works are discussed in the
accompanying article, “The History of Crime Mapping and Its Use
by American Police Departments.”
Canter, Philip R. (1997).
“Geographic Information Systems and Crime Analysis in Baltimore
County, Maryland.” In David Weisburd and Tom McEwen, eds., Crime
Mapping and Crime Prevention, pp. 157-190. Crime Prevention Studies,
vol. 8. Ronald V. Clarke, series editor. Monsey, NY: Criminal Justice
Press.
Chamard, Sharon. (Feb 2002).
“The Diffusion of Crime Mapping in American Police Departments.”
Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Western Society of Criminology,
San Diego, CA. (Available from Justice Center, University of Alaska Anchorage.)
———.
2003. The Adoption and Discontinuance of Computerized Crime Mapping
by Municipal Police Departments in New Jersey. Dissertation, School
of Criminal Justice, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, Newark.
Ann Arbor, MI: UMI Company.
Dent, Borden D. (2000).
“Brief History of Crime Mapping.” In Linda S. Turnbull, Elaine
Hallisey Hendrix, and Borden D. Dent, eds., Atlas of Crime: Mapping
the Criminal Landscape, pp. 4-21. Phoenix, AZ: Oryz Press.
Gilfillan, Sean. (1970).
The Sociology of Invention. Reprint of 1935, 1963 editions. Cambridge,
MA: M.I.T. Press.
Harries, Keith. (1999).
Mapping Crime: Principle and Practice. Washington, DC: National
Institute of Justice, Crime Mapping Research Center.
Kennedy, Leslie. (Apr 2002).
“Repeatable and Emergent Forms: Searching for Crime Spaces and Crime
Places.” Paper presented at Rutgers University School of Criminal
Justice Research Forum, Newark, NJ.
Mamalian, Cynthia A. and
La Vigne, Nancy G. (1999). “The Use of Computerized Crime Mapping
by Law Enforcement: Survey Results.” Research Preview.
Washington, DC National Institute of Justice. (http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/pubs-sum/fs000237.htm).
New Jersey Department of
Law and Public Safety. (2002). Crime in New Jersey: 2001 Uniform Crime
Report. West Trenton, NJ: New Jersey Division of State Police, Uniform
Crime Reporting Unit.
Police Foundation . (2000).
Integrating Community Policing and Computer Mapping: Assessing Issues
and Needs Among COPS Office Grantees. Washington, DC: Police Foundation,
Crime Mapping Laboratory. (http://www.policefoundation.org/pdf/CD9.pdf).
Rich, Thomas. (1995). “The
Use of Computerized Mapping in Crime Control and Prevention Programs.”
Research in Action. Washington, DC National Institute of Justice.
NCJ 155182. (http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/pubs-sum/155182.htm).
Rogers, Everett M. (1995).
Diffusion of Innovations, 4th ed. New York, NY: The Free Press.
Weisburd, David and Lum,
Cynthia. (Dec 2001). “Translating Research into Practice: Reflections
on the Diffusion of Crime Mapping Innovation.” Keynote address delivered
at the Fifth Annual International Crime Mapping Research Conference, Dallas,
TX.
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