Analysis of DFYS Data N.E. Schafer and Richard Curtis The data analysis discussed
here was funded by a gift from Cook Inlet Region, Inc. Demographics of Referrals We confined our analysis to
youth who were 10 to 17 years old at their first appearance in
the data set and who were categorized in one of three racial
groupswhite, Alaska Native and African-American. These
three races accounted for 90 per cent of all referrals. ![]() Rates of Referrals Another way of examining racial
disproportionality is to examine the rate at which each
race accumulates referrals. We used as a base for computing such
rates Alaska Department of Education (DOE) enrollment figures
for grades 5 through 12. Figures, broken down by race and area,
were available for each of the four years studied. During each
year Alaska Natives constituted about 23 per cent of all youth
enrolled in grades 5 through 12 and African Americans around
5 per cent. |
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Reasons for Referrals Offense information was entered in the data based on the most serious charge at referral (if there was more than one charge). We initially categorized referral events as crimes against persons, property crimes, public order crimes and other offenses. However, because these categories include both very serious and very minor offenses, we decided to control for offense severity. We therefore based most of our offense-based analyses on selected crimes either because they were the most numerous in their category or because there was particular public interest in them (Table 3). ![]() For example, of 4,078 referrals
for crimes against persons, only 40 (less than one tenth of one
per cent) were for the crimes of murder in the first or second
degrees, manslaughter or criminally negligent homicide. The majority
(61%) were for misdemeanor assault (assault in the fourth degree)
so we used this charge in our analyses of crimes against persons.
For crimes against property we focused on burglary (the only
felony), criminal mischief and misdemeanor theft: these accounted
for two-thirds of all property crime referrals. Referrals for
possession/consumption of alcohol were the most numerous in the
public order category. We also included referrals for misdemeanor
drug possession because drug abuse is perceived as a growing
problem. Data on Individuals Because the referral data are incident-based, we have been discussing incidents rather than people. As we have already noted, there are more referrals than people since some individuals accumulate several referrals. Indeed, 116 youth accumulated 15 or more referrals during the period studied. Three had 18 referralsthe highest number listed. Two-thirds of the youth appeared only once in the data set; of these, 70 per cent were white, 65 per cent were black and 60 per cent were Native. We limited our analysis of individuals to those whose full referral history was in the data set by selecting only those individuals whose history indicated no prior record. This left us with a sample of 11,799 youth referred one or more times in 1993, 1994, 1995 and 1996. We examined the data on individuals on the basis of gender as well as race. Table 4 describes these youth and includes the mean number of referrals committed by each individual in that category. For example, the 2,696 white females in the data base accumulated a total of 3,938 referralsan average of 1.46 referrals per person. ![]() The gender differences are instructive.
The percentage of individual females (34.3%) is greater than
the percentage of referrals attributed to them (29.9%). They
are presumably more likely than male youth to be referred only
once. There are, however, differences by race, with a larger
percentage of referrals of Native females (33.0%) than of either
African American (25.0%) or white females (29.2%). Indeed, Alaska
Native girls amassed a higher average number of offenses (1.89)
than white boys (1.79). |
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Nancy Schafer is a professor at the Justice Center. Richard Curtis is a research associate with the Center. Cassie Atwell of the Justice Center also contributed to the data analysis presented in this article. |